Post: "indiaresists@lists.riseup.net"To all IAC-iansNow that Central Govt. has thrown in the towel in the fight against COVID-19 and handed over the responsibility to the States, I can make the following SCIENTIFIC observations (see attached images at end of my email)1. Mr. Modi has obviously realised that this virus is going to run for at least another 2 months and he has nothing new left to say. (Other members have already commented on how hollow and full of bombastic rhetoric his past 2 speeches have been).2. Mr. Modi has also realised that its better to be like Rahul Gandhi and take potshots at opposition Governments from a distance for failing to control COVID-19 without taking responsibility.3. That India's official (but rigged and downplayed) numbers have reached 5,000+ new infections per day (screen shot attached).4. That our proprietary AI-driven indicators at IIM Ahmedabad show that the USA achieved its infection peak on 10-April-2020 and the number of daily infections is dropping daily there (albeit slowly) for the past 45 days. In India, the peak is still some time away (however, India's official statistics cannot be trusted and are downplayed, like China does, by a factor of at least 12 through systematic incentivization to downplay cases and deaths)5. The recent Data driven research from the USA (New York) shows that there are 20 asymptomatic infections for every reported case. In New York, the most badly affected metro city of USA, rapid antibody tests there estimate that 20% of the population is infected. Similar (very confidential tests under NCDC using controversial Chinese rapid kits) mass tests carried out in Mumbai's slums of Dharavi, Antop Hill, Mohammed Ali Road, Lower Parel areas etc recently show that only 4% of the population is asymptomatic or has encountered the virus.This is disturbing because it shows India is very far away from the herd immunity levels of 65-70% infections needed.CONCLUSION : The USA has adopted a strategic policy of ACCELERATING the spread of the virus and they could achieve "PEAK" transmission in only 22 days of Phase-2. In India despite 70 days of painful Lockdown we will not achieve PEAK. After 45 days of PEAK (on 10-April-2020) and with a sustained DECLINE in transmission rate the USA can consider easing up on (nominal) Lockdown restrictions and open their country up. On the other hand the RASCAL SCIENTIFICALLY ILLITERATE "PROSTITUTE" IAS officers in MHA and MoHFW are relaxing restrictions and opening up the Indian workplaces when the disease is at the early stages of the most dangerous and prolonged stage 3 and is ACCELERATING STEEPLY.God save this country from such IAS fools in our Ministries. What "steel frame" is this IAS, when they are as weak as rubber bands ?Ravi
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Monday, May 18, 2020
Re: [IAC#RG] Lockdown 4.0 : Incompetent relaxations designed to spread disease
Sunday, May 17, 2020
[IAC#RG] Lockdown 4.0 : Incompetent relaxations designed to spread disease
Re: [IAC#RG] Popularity
The virtues and toxicities of popularity
There is a saying in Tamil that too much of anything is harmful. Even nectar turns poisonous beyond a point. Perhaps popularity falls under the category.
Our daily experience shows that this applies to most good things of life. When a child badly wants a toy, he is in ecstasy when he gets it. But after playing with it for a while very he loses interest in it and throws it away. A person with a sweet tooth enjoys a delicacy up to a certain quantity. Beyond that he doesn't wish to consume any more of it. I call it the Limit Theory (there is actually such a theory based on which Engineering Structures are designed), or in business parlance, what the traffic will bear. Of course, there are exceptions. My daughter never lost her interest in her family of dolls. She had a name for each of them and never discarded a single doll when a new one was bought. Now and then her dolls received some corporal punishment. Sometimes a limb or ear went missing, and occasionally it was beheaded, but the doll never left the family. At some point in time the missing part was restored and the torn dress was repaired or renewed.
Popularity is something we all seek secretly or publicly. It is a common weakness. Very rarely have I come across a person who does not love popularity. Many of them also mistake plain flattery for popularity. Some of them of course try to impress others by declaring that they don't care for popularity. Some bosses specially do. It may not show on their faces but secretly they enjoy it. Junior colleagues compete to lay it thick in the presence of the boss and have a good laugh when he leaves the scene. This behaviour is cultivated when at school. In the continual rating system, a teacher has tremendous discretion. The students do not waste a moment in humouring him for a few more marks. I had a Professor who was known for being soft and good-natured. He never chided us. We thought that he would be an easy prey to flattery. When we tried to try our skill on him, he simply removed his hearing aid to deliver us a lesson in good behaviour. We gave up.
Popularity is not a dirty word. We all need a dose of it for motivation. It feels good. To that extent it is certainly a virtue. But it should be the result of our genuine behaviour or action. To act for the sake of cheap popularity would be a mistake. That is a temptation one must avoid. We need to be bold enough to call a spade a shovel. Never mind if someone thinks you are not being polite. A foul language must be avoided, but there are ways of making your mind known in a subtle way.
Seeking popularity for its own sake, ignoring the ground realities is a behaviour we exhibit now and then. I must confess that I have been occasionally guilty of such conduct. I simply get carried away, and make promises beyond my competence. I suppose it is just a heady behaviour in excitement blinded by an illusion of omnipotence. Very soon the monumental folly is exposed with loss of face and retraction. Why does this happen? It is toxicity. Such behaviour can be explained away when one has imbibed an overdose of the hard stuff and become intoxicated. However, it is difficult to imagine that a tea-totaller can exhibit the same behaviour, unless toxicity of popularity has induced him to act in that manner.
Conclusion: Popularity is a virtue, but don't go on an overdrive.
N. Natarajan
With regardsProf N.Natarajan
Saturday, May 16, 2020
Re: [IAC#RG] PM MODI's SPEECHES AND BROKEN PROMISES ARE RECYCLED HOT AIR
Sent: Saturday, May 16, 2020 1:57 AM
To: indiaresists@lists.riseup.net <indiaresists@lists.riseup.net>
Subject: [IAC#RG] PM MODI's SPEECHES AND BROKEN PROMISES ARE RECYCLED HOT AIR
There is rightly a sense of disbelief and a trust deficit with those in Power. At that 2014 election rally at Merces in Goa after promising 'Acche din' Narendra Modi gave us an assurance and vowed that money stashed away in Swiss banks would be brought back and 15 lakhs would be credited into everyone's bank account. Obviously, a forlorn hope and disappointment for the many and a broken promise by a PM who knew full well that he had no intention of keeping or capable of honouring. I have stopped listening to any of his blabbering as it always leads to disappointment and frustration. It is always hot air and much ado about nothing.
However, when it was announced at short notice that the Prime Minister was going to address the nation on 12th May at 8 pm at the height of a grave and worrying pandemic, I chose to be glued to listen to what he had to say with a hope that he had finally found something worthwhile to communicate.
After half an hour into his discourse, I could not figure out what the hell he wished to communicate. As it was a damp squib, a much ado about nothing, I decided to hit the pillow after hearing that he was planning a 20 lakh crore cash stimulus to prop up a failing economy, without revealing the source of that money. It all sounded a repeat of his 2014 election stunt at Merces.
India's limp along Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, has long lost the plot and needs to be replaced by someone who can think out of the box with vision, economic policies and correctly targeted investment with full transparency and zero tolerance to corruption. This is vital and urgently required to chart India's road to financial recovery especially in view of the current COVID-19 raging pandemic.
But there is no hope whatsoever that our polity and political turf will ever improve. It is only further deteriorating and awfully decaying by the day. The unacceptable antics and behavior of some of our politicians in recent times has turned it into a despised profession and looked upon with disdain and held in low esteem by the very people that they are meant to serve.
William Hazlitt a great essayist and English philosopher, observed that ''some persons make promises for the pleasure of breaking them''. PM Modi's track record perfectly fits this description. John D. Rockefeller, the powerful business magnate and philanthropist believed in the sacredness of a promise, that a man's word should be as good as his bond, that character- not wealth or power or position- is of supreme worth.
Some years ago, Supreme Court Judges B.N.Agarwal and G.S.Singhvi had observed that even God cannot save our country from such politicians. Amen
Advocate High Court
C/G-2, Shopping Complex
Ribandar Retreat,
Ribandar – Goa – 403006
Mobile No: 9822684372
Office Tel No: (0832) 2444012
Email: airesrodrigues1@gmail.com
Or
You can also reach me on
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Twitter@rodrigues_aires
Friday, May 15, 2020
[IAC#RG] PM MODI's SPEECHES AND BROKEN PROMISES ARE RECYCLED HOT AIR
There is rightly a sense of disbelief and a trust deficit with those in Power. At that 2014 election rally at Merces in Goa after promising 'Acche din' Narendra Modi gave us an assurance and vowed that money stashed away in Swiss banks would be brought back and 15 lakhs would be credited into everyone's bank account. Obviously, a forlorn hope and disappointment for the many and a broken promise by a PM who knew full well that he had no intention of keeping or capable of honouring. I have stopped listening to any of his blabbering as it always leads to disappointment and frustration. It is always hot air and much ado about nothing.
However, when it was announced at short notice that the Prime Minister was going to address the nation on 12th May at 8 pm at the height of a grave and worrying pandemic, I chose to be glued to listen to what he had to say with a hope that he had finally found something worthwhile to communicate.
After half an hour into his discourse, I could not figure out what the hell he wished to communicate. As it was a damp squib, a much ado about nothing, I decided to hit the pillow after hearing that he was planning a 20 lakh crore cash stimulus to prop up a failing economy, without revealing the source of that money. It all sounded a repeat of his 2014 election stunt at Merces.
India's limp along Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, has long lost the plot and needs to be replaced by someone who can think out of the box with vision, economic policies and correctly targeted investment with full transparency and zero tolerance to corruption. This is vital and urgently required to chart India's road to financial recovery especially in view of the current COVID-19 raging pandemic.
But there is no hope whatsoever that our polity and political turf will ever improve. It is only further deteriorating and awfully decaying by the day. The unacceptable antics and behavior of some of our politicians in recent times has turned it into a despised profession and looked upon with disdain and held in low esteem by the very people that they are meant to serve.
William Hazlitt a great essayist and English philosopher, observed that ''some persons make promises for the pleasure of breaking them''. PM Modi's track record perfectly fits this description. John D. Rockefeller, the powerful business magnate and philanthropist believed in the sacredness of a promise, that a man's word should be as good as his bond, that character- not wealth or power or position- is of supreme worth.
Some years ago, Supreme Court Judges B.N.Agarwal and G.S.Singhvi had observed that even God cannot save our country from such politicians. Amen
Advocate High Court
C/G-2, Shopping Complex
Ribandar Retreat,
Ribandar – Goa – 403006
Mobile No: 9822684372
Office Tel No: (0832) 2444012
Email: airesrodrigues1@gmail.com
Or
You can also reach me on
Facebook.com/ AiresRodrigues
Twitter@rodrigues_aires
Thursday, May 14, 2020
Re: [IAC#RG] Migrant labour - and affluent Biharis stranded abroad
Post: "indiaresists@lists.riseup.net"To:Shri R.N.Malhotra jiMigrant labour is only one symptom of the mismanagement of India by ALL political parties.1. This Government had full knowledge since 20th January 2020 about the likelihood (nay certainty) of it becoming a pandemic. Let Shri Ajay Bhalla, IAS, (Home Secretary) deny it if he can2. This Government knew very well by 30th January 2020 (when first COVID death occurred in India) that China was grossly under-reporting cases (showing 4,000 cases when actual figure was over 80,000) and disease had spread afar to UAE and R0 then was at least 3.5 (Re has varied since then between 1.3 to 5).3. This Government knew very well on Feb 25th 2020 that there had been over 600 infections in USA (the first cases were as far back as 3rd January 2020), but all this Govt could think of was entertaining Donald Trump and causing lakhs of people to assemble at his meetings. Its no coincidence that places like Ahmedabad, Agra and Delhi where Trump stayed are the hotspots for this disease.4. On Feb 26th 2020 this Govt knew very well that COVID was raging like wildfire in Wuhan (China) so what did they do ? Send an Airforce plane to bring back 110 people who were allowed to rejoin the population after the shortest quarantine possible when nothing definite was known about the virus except that it was highly infectious and has a kill rate of 25% of those hospitalised.In very blunt language,a) Who the F**K was advising our Prime Minister, or was it only for optics ?b) Why were our borders (especially airports) not sealed as far back as February 10th when the entire scientific knew for at least a week that this was going to be a pandemic. Who postponed it to March 20th?c) Why was the first lockdown only implemented on March 25th when it should have happened by 15th February?As Dr. Kapoor has written and graphically illustrated (repeatedly) to our members, it seems this Government is deliberately infecting vast sections of the nation as a matter of policy. It is a diabolical strategy to create an aura of FEAR and CONFUSION where even the fig-leaf democracy is given the go-by. In this they have the full cooperation of sections of Indian industry who are simply fed up with labour. China does not achieved its world dominance nowadays though labour, except the slave / captive labour kind. Its all highly automated nowadays over there and there was 50% mass unemployment in China even before COVID. Corporate India badly wants to be untied from labour and all the "laws / regulations / red tape" which goes with it. This is a great chance for them to extract money from banks so long as our politicians are deluded that India is going to be the world's next super-powerAlso, its only in this nation, that there is historically a "create work for the people" kind of approach. Organizations like Railways have been treated by successive Ministers as employment bureaus and not a single Chairman of the Railway Board, to my knowledge, ever protested publicly against this while in office. Why are India's armed forces so over-manned ? Which idiot in the Army has come up with this new plan to take civilians on 3 year contracts, or is it a longer strategy to cut the pensions burden ?As far as migrant labour is concerned, their poor over-cramped slumlike and unhygenic UNPLANNED living conditions in urban centres are very significantly responsible for the infection refusing to die down. It is a pragmatic decision to expel them from the cities, indirectly if not directly. It will also ensure that by migrants acting as carriers the disease will now spread well throughout India in places where medical facilities are poor or non-existent and where nobody is bothered about maintaining statistics. You can be very sure that by mid-June COVID testing by the States is going to dramatically decline as the effect of infected migrants returning home becomes evident. The infection numbers have already started spiking in Goa and Bihar as the migrants return home. Opening the Railways for Shramik Expresses is sure to spread the disease deep into the hinterlands to create pools from where it will strike back.Sarbajit RoyOn Fri, May 15, 2020 at 12:56 AM ravindra malhotra <indiaresists@lists.riseup.net> wrote:In this forum there has been endless discussion on irrelevant issues, personal allegations and rebukes, while the issues at present killing a chunk of population is forgotten.We have been reading in papers and listening in news heartrending stories of plight of migrant labour in India - walking hundreds of miles or trying to walk with their meagre belongings on their head, children and women including pregnant women in toe, hungry and exhausted. Some perished on the way. This inspite of arrangement for their stay and food having been ordered by the centre and the state governments. While millions availed of hospitality of state, thousands kept on trying to flee or actually fled on foot. Even today the highways are teeming with these miserable people walking,some pulling their children on carts, some spending all their savings in payment to truck drivers, but still unsuccessful in reaching their destination.What went wrong? I have the following take -Our bureaucracy have no category of 'migrant labour' in their books. They have SC's, ST's, OBC'c, BPL's, ultra Bpl's in their books but no migrant labour as a category. It resulted in the fact that they were forgotten when the lock down was imposed, and their existence and problems were realised only when they started collecting at inter state borders in thousands all over India.Same is the status of politicians vis-a-vis migrant labour.. Migrant labour is no voter for any one, as he works in the state or constituency where he does not have voting rights. At the time of elections, he is not in the constituency for which he has voting rights, as a migrant labour he is working elsewhere and does not have the money and time to go to his home only for voting. No political personnel or political party is therefore interested in them and their welfare is left to some NGO's with limited resources. They have no advocates for them out of public representatives in state or central govt. The attitude of bureaucracy is also probably in large extent due to this fact of political apathy.The Central Govt has , after their initial forgetfulness about this category of people, ha announced many measures including their sheltering and feeding. Implementation has evidently not been that sincere. It is the public representatives, who advise their people about what the Govt is doing for them and also take their grievances to the governments. This was lacking due to reasons given above, leaving the labour un satisfied and dis satisfied resulting in their clamour to go back to their states. Some states have now been giving them calls to stay back as large scale exodus from the state of their work has started now with ease of restrictions, while their presence is now required to restart the economic activity.Centre has announced a monetary assistance to migrant labour..But how are these people moving on the highways, collected outside railway stations, living/resting on pavements to know? Political parties and their support organisation that claim to be NGO's could have helped if their volunteers, who are deputed for convassing during elections, are deputed to guide correctly these pitiable people. But of course these people are not voters - so who cares!If anyone has a view on the issues of migrant labour, it will be interesting to know.R.N.Malhotra
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Re: [IAC#RG] Migrant labour - suffering in present corona virus pandemic
Post: "indiaresists@lists.riseup.net"In this forum there has been endless discussion on irrelevant issues, personal allegations and rebukes, while the issues at present killing a chunk of population is forgotten.We have been reading in papers and listening in news heartrending stories of plight of migrant labour in India - walking hundreds of miles or trying to walk with their meagre belongings on their head, children and women including pregnant women in toe, hungry and exhausted. Some perished on the way. This inspite of arrangement for their stay and food having been ordered by the centre and the state governments. While millions availed of hospitality of state, thousands kept on trying to flee or actually fled on foot. Even today the highways are teeming with these miserable people walking,some pulling their children on carts, some spending all their savings in payment to truck drivers, but still unsuccessful in reaching their destination.What went wrong? I have the following take -Our bureaucracy have no category of 'migrant labour' in their books. They have SC's, ST's, OBC'c, BPL's, ultra Bpl's in their books but no migrant labour as a category. It resulted in the fact that they were forgotten when the lock down was imposed, and their existence and problems were realised only when they started collecting at inter state borders in thousands all over India.Same is the status of politicians vis-a-vis migrant labour.. Migrant labour is no voter for any one, as he works in the state or constituency where he does not have voting rights. At the time of elections, he is not in the constituency for which he has voting rights, as a migrant labour he is working elsewhere and does not have the money and time to go to his home only for voting. No political personnel or political party is therefore interested in them and their welfare is left to some NGO's with limited resources. They have no advocates for them out of public representatives in state or central govt. The attitude of bureaucracy is also probably in large extent due to this fact of political apathy.The Central Govt has , after their initial forgetfulness about this category of people, ha announced many measures including their sheltering and feeding. Implementation has evidently not been that sincere. It is the public representatives, who advise their people about what the Govt is doing for them and also take their grievances to the governments. This was lacking due to reasons given above, leaving the labour un satisfied and dis satisfied resulting in their clamour to go back to their states. Some states have now been giving them calls to stay back as large scale exodus from the state of their work has started now with ease of restrictions, while their presence is now required to restart the economic activity.Centre has announced a monetary assistance to migrant labour..But how are these people moving on the highways, collected outside railway stations, living/resting on pavements to know? Political parties and their support organisation that claim to be NGO's could have helped if their volunteers, who are deputed for convassing during elections, are deputed to guide correctly these pitiable people. But of course these people are not voters - so who cares!If anyone has a view on the issues of migrant labour, it will be interesting to know.R.N.Malhotra
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